Football Betting

Newton set to debut as No. 22 Auburn's QB

NCAA Football Betting Lines

09/03/2010 -

AUBURN, Ala. (AP) -Quarterback Cameron Newton has been the talk of Auburn since his arrival on campus. He's big, he's mobile and he's a skilled leader who can direct Gus Malzahn's offense to even bigger numbers.

That's the buzz, at least.

Really, the 22nd-ranked Tigers' fans get their first glimpse of what Newton can do with both his arms and his legs Saturday night when Arkansas State visits to open the season.

Closed practices and a limited arsenal in the spring game have left Newton something of a mystery to Auburn fans. Of course, there's always some of that to any quarterback who hasn't started in front of 80,000 or so fans.

``Until you actually get to see somebody in the heat of the battle, there's some questions that we'll learn after the first few games after we get to know each other even better going through those times,'' offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn said. ``And he's got a good handle of the offense, but I really expect him each week to get a better grip and a better grasp as we go.''

Newton has waited for this chance since signing with Florida out of high school. He spent last season at a Texas junior college before landing back in the Southeastern Conference, then learned Malzahn's system well enough in the spring to claim the starting job.

``I wouldn't say I'm overconfident, but I'm confident in every single aspect of the game the coaches have put forth to learn, whether personnel or plays,'' Newton said. ``So I'm confident in all cylinders of the game plan.''

This could be a nice first test. Arkansas State has ranked first or second in the Sun Belt in total defense four years running and returns 10 defensive starters, including preseason league player of the year Bryan Hall on the line.

The Red Wolves face a new-look backfield, with Mario Fannin shifting from a hybrid running back/receiver position to the Tigers' starting tailback. Highly touted freshman Michael Dyer also could make his debut.

Arkansas State will unveil an uptempo offense under new coordinator Hugh Freeze that bears some semblance to Malzahn's system. That means both defenses have experience practicing against that type of attack.

``We get an opportunity to see a lot of the stuff they do like our offense,'' Red Wolves coach Steve Roberts said. ``Some of the plays are very similar, but there are a lot of things that aren't similar that we do that Auburn has not done.''

Both teams have new starting tailbacks. Auburn's Fannin replaces NFL second-round pick Ben Tate, and has played diverse roles for the Tigers.

Running backs coach Curtis Luper has already predicted a 1,000-yard season for Fannin.

``It's a good feeling, being able to suit up your senior season and being in a position that you really wanted to play since you got here,'' Fannin said. ``Now is the time to just show everybody that you can fulfill that position.''

Arkansas State's Derek Lawson was slowed by injury last season and managed just 244 yards, a year after gaining 685. He takes over for Reggie Arnold.

``Derek is certainly a weapon for our football team,'' Roberts said. ``He has been very patient and did not have the type of year he would have liked to have had last year because of injury.

``He played in every game, but wasn't full speed. He is full speed now and we are certainly excited about his role as starting running back for our football team.''

For Auburn, the game marks the return of starting safeties Aairon Savage and Zac Etheridge from injuries. Savage hasn't played the past two seasons.Copyright © 2005 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. The information contained in the AP News report may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed without the prior written authority of The Associated Press.


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Super Bowl 2009 Betting

Super Bowl 2009 Betting propositions

Underdog bettors love the Super Bowl and, history suggests, the underdogs love them back. And the big dogs bite harder.

Even so, there is a warning in store for Super Bowl gamblers who must love dogs: The Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl betting lines might not be enough of a Cinderella to make it worth your while.

Although the Cardinals were widely panned as one of the worst division winners and least playoff-worthy teams in recent memory, their trip to Super Bowl XLIII Jan. 31 in Tampa against the Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl betting lines comes with a little more respect from the oddsmakers than you might imagine. They are a 7-point underdog at most sports books.

If you count yourself among those who covet the big dog in the big game, this isn’t exactly great news. You should have been hoping for more points. This is because the facts show that the bigger the dog, the better the bet in the Super Bowl.

Case in point: Over the past 13 seasons, double-figure underdogs in the Super Bowl are 4-0-1 ATS and have won the past three outright. In fact, the last double-digit chalk to do the deed for bettors was the 1995 San Francisco 49ers, who managed to beat the astounding 19-point spot afforded backers of the San Diego Chargers in the 49-26 romp in Super Bowl XXIX.

By contrast, 7-point favorites are 2-1-1 ATS in the same span, the last such contest resulting a cover grinded out by the Colts in their 29-17 win over the Bears two seasons ago in Super Bowl XLI.

In 2004, the Patriots failed to cover the number in their 32-29 triumph over the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl props while the Rams and Titans gave everyone a refund in 2000 after the Rams posted a 23-16 win as a seven-point favorite.

So while Arizona’s run has included impressive upsets as a 10-point road underdog to the Carolina Panthers and Sunday’s 32-25 win in the NFC championship game to the 4-point favored Philadelphia Eagles, their long-shot story lacks a bit of the David vs. Goliath storyline of past Super Bowl underdogs.

While the seven-point spread represents a significant gap in the perception of strength between the two teams, it is far from monumental. For example, last season the Giants were the wild-card afterthought turned road-warrior buzzsaw, with stunning wins over the Buccaneers, Cowboys and Packers to earn their place in the Super Bowl.

There, they played spoiler to New England’s bid to become the first 19-0 team in NFL history and cemented their place in sports betting lore with a 17-14 win as a 12.5-point underdog.

In other words, the Cardinals appear to have their work cut out for them as a mid-range underdog. But in homage to the spread beaters who have come before them, here is a brief look back at recent colossal upsets in the Super Bowl:

SB XLII -- 2008 -- New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14 (Giants +12.5) – Eli Manning’s 13-yard touchdown pass to Plaxico Burress in the final minute clinched the historic upset for the Giants, who used a masterful defensive plan to slow down Tom Brady and the previously undefeated New England Patriots.

XXXVI -- 2002 -- Patriots 20, Rams 17 (Patriots +14) – This was the coming out party for the aforementioned Brady, who went from obscure sixth-round draft pick to Super Bowl hero in one fell swoop. He led the game-winning drive in the final minute – eschewing analyst John Madden’s advice to take a knee and play for overtime – leading to Adam Vinatieri’s memorable 48-yard field goal that split the uprights as time expired.

XXXII 1998 Broncos 31, Packers 24 (Denver +12) – The first of John Elway’s two consecutive Super Bowl titles to put an end to his Hall of Fame career was an upset for the ages. The Broncos used the determination of Elway and a 157-yard, three-touchdown performance from Terrell Davis to turn back Brett Favre and the heavily favored Packers.

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